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China Perspective: Shifting Vietnam remains a partner, not a rival, to China

Su Hao
August 30, 2010
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China Perspective: Global Times reporter Yu Jincui compiled this article, based on an interview with Su Hao, a professor of diplomacy in China Foreign Affair University.   

Vietnam has been moving closer to the US recently, and conflicts between China and Vietnam in the South China Sea are moving from potential problems into serious ones.  

As it grows its economy, Vietnam is looking for maritime interests for future development.  

In order to strengthen its role in South China Sea and gain the power to bargain with China, Vietnam is in dire need of an external power that can offer support. The US is the best source. By chance, the US has been adjusting its strategy to strengthen the containment of China in Asia.  

But we cannot simply define Vietnam as a nation that is confronting China due to its current pro-US tilt in foreign policy. As neighboring countries, China and Vietnam have built a strategic partnership and the bilateral relation is running on a sound base.

Visitors watch the precious photos in a photo exhibition marking the 60th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between the People's Republic of China and Vietnam, in Hanoi, Vietnam, Jan. 14, 2010. The photo exhibition, co-organized by Xinhua News Agency and Vietnam News Agency, displayed more than 200 photos on friendship and achievements of the two countries in political, economic, cultural, technology and military fields. (Xinhua/Li Qing)
Visitors watch the precious photos in a photo exhibition marking the 60th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between the People’s Republic of China and Vietnam, in Hanoi, Vietnam, Jan. 14, 2010. The photo exhibition, co-organized by Xinhua News Agency and Vietnam News Agency, displayed more than 200 photos on friendship and achievements of the two countries in political, economic, cultural, technology and military fields. (Xinhua/Li Qing)

We should make full use of this sound foundation to enhance and promote the bilateral relations within a framework of friendly cooperation.   

Facing a Vietnam leaning toward the US, we should try our best to rebalance its position. A Vietnam balanced between China and the US would be in China’s ultimate interests.  

In the past, we assumed that China and Vietnam could stand together to handle issues with the US because of our similar political systems. However, the reality contradicts with the assumption.  

Although the US often criticizes Vietnam over problems of political democracy and human rights, it is not a big obstacle in US-Vietnam relations, and cannot prevent strategic coordination and cooperation between the two countries.  

Vietnam has close economic ties with China. However, business conflicts go along with cooperation. In trade between China and Vietnam, one serious problem is that Vietnam has the unfavorable trade balance.  

Vietnam attributes its slow economic recovery and development to the abundant cheap goods imported from China, and criticizes China for dumping goods into its market. In order to cater to increasing public demand and support construction, it has to import consumer and capital goods from aboard. And the best supplier is China.  

There are structural contradictions between China and Vietnam. We should try our best to mitigate them and emphasize mutual needs.  

One of the key issues in the national strategy of Vietnam is to gain the leadership of ASEAN by promoting regional integration within the organization. This is a basic strategic choice of it.  

From the perspective of regional cooperation, Vietnam needs China, since China plays a prominent role in the process of ASEAN regional integration, and without China’s support and coordination, the integration process will be very difficult to implement.  

And from a security perspective, in addition to the traditional maritime sovereignty dispute, there are many other complex security issues that concern both China and Vietnam, such as non-traditional security issues.  

Although the US is conducting military exercises with Vietnam in the name of maritime disaster relief at present, if there were a disaster at sea, the real and urgent help provided to Vietnam would be from China, not the US.  

What’s more, Vietnam faces the same challenges of drought and flood as China does. We could spare our attention to aid it at the same time solving our own problems.  

Vietnam is an agricultural country and the second largest rice exporter in the world. Nevertheless, its agriculture is relatively underdeveloped.  

As another agricultural country, China could provide valuable expertise in intensive cultivation to Vietnam. Cooperation with Vietnam in this aspect could be strengthened.  

Vietnam’s strategic thinking is based on challenging China, but has to depend on China out of real demands, which resulted in its ambiguous and contorted diplomatic attitude toward China. We should try to weaken the confrontation from other aspects.  

The South China Sea dispute between China and the Vietnam is still manageable, and unlikely to lead to the breakdown of bilateral relations.  

As the largest interested party and the most influential country in the dispute, as long as China keep calm, take the initiative and stick to the established policies to deal with the issue, the dispute will not grow beyond our control.  


Su Hao
[Yu Jincui, Global Times]  
 
 

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